Mexican Americans worry about families after cartel violence

Days after chaotic displays ofcartel-related violencein theMexican state of Jalisco, Eva Zarate's group chats, with family in Mexico and the United States, went quiet.

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Cars and Oxxo convenience stores burned across the region, including where her relatives live in Guadalajara. The unrest was in apparent retaliation for theFeb. 22 Mexican military operationin Jalisco, which officials said led to the capture and death of drug cartel bossNemesio Ruben Oseguera Cervantes.

Many Mexican Americans like Zarate, a 33-year-old therapist who lives in Oakland, California, sent flurries of WhatsApp messages and calls checking on family.

<p style=After Mexican officials announced a powerful Mexican cartel leader was killed during a military operation on Sunday, several regions of the country are grappling with ongoing security risks and unrest.
Police officers secure the area where vehicles were set on fire by organized crime members to block a road following a military operation in which a government source said Mexican drug lord Nemesio Oseguera, commonly known as "El Mencho," was killed, in Zapopan, Mexico, Feb. 22, 2026.

" style="max-width:100%; height:auto; border-radius:6px; margin:10px 0;" loading="lazy" /> Smoke billows from burning vehicles amid a wave of violence, with torched vehicles and gunmen blocking highways in more than half a dozen states, following a military operation in which a government source said Mexican drug lord Nemesio Oseguera, known as A bus set on fire by organised crime groups in response to an operation in Jalisco to arrest a high-priority security target, burns at one of the main avenues in Zapopan, state of Jalisco, Mexico, on Feb. 22, 2026. A man extinguishes a burning truck set on fire by organised crime groups in response to an operation in Jalisco to arrest a high-priority security target, at one of the main avenues in Zapopan, state of Jalisco, Mexico, on Feb. 22, 2026. <p style=Mexican Army personnel stand guard as passengers leave Guadalajara International Airport in Tlaquepaque, Jalisco State, Mexico, on Feb. 22, 2026.

" style="max-width:100%; height:auto; border-radius:6px; margin:10px 0;" loading="lazy" /> Mexican National Guard special forces patrol around the Specialized Prosecutor's Office for Organized Crime (FEMDO) headquarters in Mexico City on Feb. 22, 2026. This aerial view shows burned cars and trucks, allegedly set on fire by organised crime groups in response to an operation to arrest a high-priority security target, on a highway near Acatlan de Juarez, Jalisco state, Mexico on Feb. 22, 2026. A man riding a bicycle takes a photo of a burned truck, allegedly set on fire by organized crime groups in response to an operation to arrest a high-priority security target, on a highway near Acatlan de Juarez, Jalisco state, Mexico on Feb. 22, 2026. Firefighters work to extinguish flames from a vehicle used by organized crime members as roadblock following a series of detentions by federal forces, in Guadalajara, Mexico, Feb. 22, 2026. A burned vehicle used as barricade by organized crime members, following a series of arrests by federal forces, stands in Guadalajara, Mexico, on Feb. 22, 2026. Police officers and civilians walk near the burned wreckage of a vehicle used as a barricade by members of organized crime following a series of detentions by federal forces, in Guadalajara, Mexico, Feb. 22, 2026. A burned vehicle used as barricade by organized crime members, following a series of arrests by federal forces, lies in Guadalajara, Mexico, on Feb. 22, 2026. Firefighters work to extinguish flames from a vehicle used by organized crime members as roadblocks following a series of detentions by federal forces, in Guadalajara, Mexico, Feb. 22, 2026. Police officers and civilians walk near the burned wreckage of a vehicle used as a barricade by members of organized crime, following a series of detentions by federal forces, in Guadalajara, Mexico, Feb. 22, 2026. The burned wreckage of a truck, used as a barricade by members of organized crime following a series of detentions by federal forces, lies in Guadalajara, Mexico, Feb. 22, 2026. Tyre puncture spikes lie on a street after being used by members of organized crime. following a series of detentions by federal forces, in Guadalajara, Mexico, Feb. 22, 2026. Firefighters work to extinguish flames from a vehicle used by organized crime members as roadblock following a series of detentions by federal forces, in Guadalajara, Mexico, Feb. 22, 2026. Soldiers check motorcycle drivers after organized crime burned vehicles to block roads following a federal operation in which a government source said Mexican drug lord Nemesio Oseguera, commonly known as A bus used as a roadblock by organized crime burns following a federal operation in which a government source said Mexican drug lord Nemesio Oseguera, commonly known as

Photos show Mexico unrest after cartel leader 'El Mencho' killed

After Mexican officials announced apowerful Mexican cartel leaderwas killed during a military operation on Sunday, several regions of the country are grappling withongoing security risks and unrest.Police officers secure the area where vehicles were set on fire by organized crime members to block a road following a military operation in which a government source said Mexican drug lord Nemesio Oseguera, commonly known as "El Mencho," was killed, in Zapopan, Mexico, Feb. 22, 2026.

They continuously try to work out how their families can remain safe in their cities, towns and villages amid the country's decades-long, bloodywar against organized crime, including the most recent takedown of another wanted drug trafficker.

Families in the United States are waiting to see how normalcy returns for relatives in Mexico, and what policies in both countries mean for families oneither side of the border.

"I feel like this simmering anxiety and tension these past few days," Zarate said.

Zarate and her husband had visited her family in Guadalajara the day before the Mexican military operation. It was her husband's first visit. Zarate had taken him to her grandparents' tombstones. Her aunt made them Zarate's grandmother's recipes, including the Guadalajara staple of carne en su jugo, a stew of beef, bacon cuts and beans in tomatillo sauce.

Back in Oakland, they awoke on Sunday, Feb. 22,to news outlets reporting cars aflame, burned buildings and shootouts. In newly formed WhatsApp group chats, Zarate scrambled to account for relatives who had sheltered indoors.

Effects of unrest visible in WhatsApp groups, calls

A burned vehicle used as barricade by organized crime members, following a series of arrests by federal forces, lies in Guadalajara, Mexico, on February 22, 2026. REUTERS/Michelle Freyria REFILE - UPDATING SLUG

As she called and messaged families, Zarate realized relatives were much closer to violent clashes than she previously thought. "I think it was like just hearing the gunshots," she said.

Zarate said family members sent videos showing they were safe, including them driving past cars still on fire on the side of the road or inside watching television. Some made jokes about the situation. Relatives messaged that they were glad Zarate and her husband left before the unrest. Then, the chats became quiet as people hunkered down.

The operation and ensuing retaliation, while resulting in the deaths of 25 Mexican National Guard members and 34 suspected gang members, resulted in only one known civilian death, according toReuters. Jalisco issued acode redthat shuttered businesses and schools for days.

"We're seeing the impact it's having on the daily lives of Mexicans back home," said Hortencia Jiménez, a professor of sociology at Hartnell College, in Salinas, California. Jiménez, originally from Nayarit, a state bordering Jalisco, first learned of the news while at home grading schoolwork. She soon began messaging her family, who now live in Tlaquepaque, a city abutting Guadalajara.

People walk near Guadalajara's cathedral in Jalisco, Mexico, on Feb. 26, 2026, days after a wave of blockades and attacks by organized crime following a Mexican military operation that killed drug cartel leader Nemesio Oseguera, known as El Mencho.

Guadalajara, a sprawling metropolitan area of over 5 million people in Jalisco set tohost games for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, has come to see familiar scenes of papers plastered on statues and kiosks for signs of "desaparecidos," people who have disappeared in the drug war.

While news outlets reported ontourists stranded in destinationssuch as Puerto Vallarta, a coastal city in Jalisco, chaos ensued in Guadalajara, Jalisco's largest city and a commercial hub for Mexico. The city halted as suspected cartel loyalists blocked roadways and burned pharmacies in several parts of the city.

Still, while violence occurs, the presence of organized crime is often not as visible in urban hubs where there is a larger mass of law enforcement compared to some rural parts of Mexico, where drug cartels can be present in daily life.

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Amid tourism worries, families worry about essentials

The Feb. 22 unrest, while limited in civilian deaths, exposed how widespread the cartels' reach is in several parts of Mexico during the drug war, which has beenfueled by American firearms and demand for narcotics, including fentanyl. Several states in Mexico saw blockades or looting, and people were hesitant to leave their homes.

Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum Pardohas promised a return to normalcy in the aftermath. Business groups in Puerto Vallarta and other picturesque destinations have tried to ensure tourism returns at the height of tourist season.

Jiménez said families can experience "transnational family stress," trying to get ahold of family from abroad while also seeing graphic images in media or, worse, AI images that invoke a sense of panic or loss of control. AsReuters reported, images such as a plane on fire atGuadalajara's airportwent viral on social media, but turned out to be fake, in what appeared to be coordinated propaganda by organized crime.

At the same time, families from Mexico in the United States are experiencing heightened immigration enforcement under the Trump administration. Mexicans make up the largest immigrant group in the United States, and about 1 in 10 Americans have Mexican ancestry, according tocensus data.

Signs with photographs of missing persons are pasted near Guadalajara's cathedral, in Jalisco, Mexico, on Feb. 25, 2026.

On the other hand, Jiménez added, the question remains whether PresidentDonald Trump, who hasthreatened to launch military operationsagainst Mexican drug cartels, will escalate American interventions in the country.

"The anxiety is coming from both sides," Claude Castañeda, a 28-year-old freelance illustrator and library worker in San Diego, said. "Both, there's now stuff happening in Mexico. There's stuff happening in the U.S."

Castañeda's family frequently visits relatives in Tijuana, a massive Mexican city on the U.S. border that's experienced waves of violence over the decades. Their family frequently delivers groceries to an aunt, who struggles with mobility, in Tijuana. When cars began burning in her neighborhood on Feb. 22 − nearly 1,400 miles from Guadalajara − she urged Castañeda's relatives not to bring groceries for the next couple of days.

Castañeda worries about how the violence will be used to restrict the border.

"People were saying it's going to change their plans and stuff, like for their vacations," Castañeda said. "For us, it's more: Can we go see our family for essential stuff?"

A drone view shows vehicles in line at the San Ysidro Port of Entry, heading north into San Diego, California, from Tijuana, Mexico, on June 10, 2025.

Fake, misrepresented images feed panic

Oswaldo Zavala, a City University of New York professor of Latin American literature and culture and a journalist from the border city of Ciudad Juárez, Mexico, said information on the aftermath has been difficult to process, particularly withviral fake videos or footage without context. Mexicans have also seen increasingly militarized responses to drug trafficking, with policies pushed by the United States.

"Most people don't necessarily have a formed opinion on how to react to this," Zavala said. "Rather, what we have grown necessarily accustomed to is to see these expressions of violence as confusing moments derived from military actions in the country."

Some people on both sides of the border have tried to defuse tension about the unrest with dark humor. Social media users have posted memes about Mexicanbread vendorsnow armed with rocket launchers to sell food. Otherspoke fun at American touristsfearful of cartel violence.

Zarate, the therapist, said her family's WhatsApp groups have become more active. However, Zarate said, "I feel not just helpless with what was happening on Sunday with their safety. Now, I'm feeling helpless with supporting them."

Still, she and her husband have promised to return later in 2026 to see family.

Eduardo Cuevas is based in New York City. Reach him by email atemcuevas1@usatoday.comor on Signal at emcuevas.01.

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY:Mexican Americans worry about families after Mexico's cartel violence

Mexican Americans worry about families after cartel violence

Days after chaotic displays ofcartel-related violencein theMexican state of Jalisco, Eva Zarate's group chats, with f...
Rev. Jesse Jackson returns home to South Carolina to lie in state

COLUMBIA, S.C. (AP) — After a long career of fighting for civil rights, the Rev.Jesse Jackson Sr.is visiting his home for one last time tolie in stateat the South Carolina capitol on Monday.

Associated Press FILE - Jesse Jackson is joined by his daughter, Santita, and son Jonathan, far right, and unidentified youngster at the Los Angeles Hilton Hotel, June 8, 1988 after falling in defeat to Massachusetts Gov. Michael Dukakis in the California Democratic primary. (AP Photo/John Duricka, File) The casket of the Rev. Jesse Jackson arrives for public visitation at Rainbow PUSH Coalition headquarters in Chicago, Friday, Feb. 27, 2026. (AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh)

Obit Jesse Jackson

The final full honors from the state where he was born is a far cry from his childhood in segregated Greenville, where in 1960 he couldn't go inside the local library's much better funded whites-only branch to check out a book he needed.

Jackson led seven Black high school students into that segregated branch, where they sat down and read books and magazines until they were arrested. The branches closed, then quietly reopened for all.

With that action, Jackson launched his career — and crusade — fighting for equality for all. He would catch theattention of the Rev. Martin Luther King Jr.and join the voting rights march King led from Selma to Montgomery, Alabama.

Jacksondied Feb. 17at age 84 after battling arare neurological disorderthat affected his mobility and ability to speak in his later years.

The South Carolina services are part oftwo weeks of events. It began with Jackson's bodylying in reposeand the public invited last week to his Rainbow PUSH Coalition's Chicago headquarters.

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After South Carolina, Jackson will be returned to Chicago for a large celebration of life gathering at a megachurch and the final homegoing services at the headquarters of Rainbow PUSH. Plans for a service in Washington, D.C., to honor him have been postponed until a later date.

Nationally, Jackson advocated for the poor and underrepresented for voting rights, job opportunities, education and health care. He scored diplomatic victories with world leaders.

Trough his Rainbow PUSH Coalition, he channeled cries for Black pride and self-determination into corporate boardrooms, pressuring executives to make America a more open and equitable society. He stepped forward as the Civil Rights Movement's torchbearer after King's assassination, and would run for theDemocratic presidential nominationin 1984 and 1988.

Jackson continued to be active in his home state, pushing in 2003 for Greenville County to honor King by matching the federal holiday in his honor and in 2015 by advocating for removing the Confederate flag from South Carolina Statehouse grounds after nine Black worshipers were killed in a racist shooting at a Charleston church.

Jackson is just the second Black man to lie in state at the South Carolina capitol. State Sen. Clementa Pinckneywas honoredin 2015 after he was shot and killed in the Charleston church shooting.

Associated Press writer Sophia Tareen in Chicago contributed to this report.

Rev. Jesse Jackson returns home to South Carolina to lie in state

COLUMBIA, S.C. (AP) — After a long career of fighting for civil rights, the Rev.Jesse Jackson Sr.is visiting his home for...
As Macron sets out his nuclear doctrine, a look at France's capability by the numbers

PARIS (AP) — French President Emmanuel Macron is delivering a keynote speech Monday onFrance's nuclear deterrence policy, as his European allies express growing concerns over possibleU.S. disengagementandRussian threats.

Associated Press FILE - France's Rafale B twin-seat multirole fighter performs during the Pegase 2024 mission at Halim Perdanakusuma airport in Jakarta, Indonesia, Wednesday, July 24, 2024. (AP Photo/Tatan Syuflana, File) FILE - French Marine officers wait atop FILE - A Rafale M single seater fighter jet is catapulted on France's flagship Charles de Gaulle aircraft carrier in the Persian Gulf, Jan. 12, 2016. (AP Photo/Christophe Ena, File)

France Nuclear Weapons

France is the European Union'sonly nuclear powerand its deterrence doctrine relies on a strictly defensive strategy intended to safeguard the country's "vital interests." Macron has long maintained that those "vital interests" havea "European dimension."

While France is a member of NATO, it maintains full independence over its nuclear forces while contributing to the alliance's broader deterrence posture. Under the French Constitution, the president is commander-in-chief of the armed forces and the sole to decide on the potential use of nuclear weapons.

Here is a look at France's nuclear capabilities, by the numbers:

1 warship

France'saircraft carrier Charles de Gaulleis the only surface warship in Europe capable of carrying nuclear weapons deployed by Rafale fighter jets using catapult-assisted takeoffs.

The navy's flagship has in recent weeks operated in the North Atlantic and the Baltic Sea, making a stop in recent daysin the Swedish port of Malmo.

Because the carrier undergoes lengthy periodic overhauls, France does not have a permanent sea-based air nuclear capability.

Macron confirmed in December that the country will builda new nuclear-powered aircraft carrierto replace the Charles de Gaulle by 2038.

4 submarines

France has four nuclear-armedsubmarines: Le Triomphant, Le Téméraire, Le Vigilant and Le Terrible (The Triumphant, The Fearless, The Vigilant, and The Terrible).

They are based in Ile Longue on the Atlantic coast, one of the nation's most secretive military sites.

Each 138-meter (453-foot) submarine is operated by a crew of about 110 and can carry 16 M51 intercontinental ballistic missiles armed with multiple warheads.

Since 1972, at least one nuclear-armed submarine has been on patrol at all times, ensuring France's permanent capacity to carry out a strike.

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500 kilometers (310 miles)

The ASMPA air-launched cruise missile — short for enhanced medium-range air-to-surface missile — has an estimated range of about 500 kilometers (310 miles).

Launched by Rafale fighter jets, it is designed to serve as a final warning before any potential escalation to large-scale nuclear conflict.

The missiles are operated by the Strategic Air Forces, which was created in 1964 and is based at three sites across France. They can also be launched by jets operating from the Charles de Gaulle.

8,000 to 10,000 kilometers (5,000 to 6,200 miles)

The M51 submarine-launched ballistic missile has an estimated range of 8,000 to 10,000 kilometers (5,000 to 6,200 miles). The exact range has not been made public.

The upgraded M51 entered operational service in October and features improved accuracy and enhanced ability to penetrate missile defenses, according to the French Defense Ministry. Each missile carries multiple independently targetable nuclear warheads.

290 warheads

France has an estimated 290 nuclear warheads, according tolatest figuresreleased by the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) and the Federation of American Scientists (FAS). Over 80% of France's warheads are submarine-launched, according to the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists.

That makes France the world's fourth-largest nuclear powerafter Russia(more than 4,300 warheads), the United States (about 3,700) and China (about 600). The United Kingdom — no longer an EU member but a NATO ally — is estimated to have about 225 warheads, according to SIPRI and FAS.

All five nations are nuclear-weapon states recognized under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty.

India, Pakistan and North Korea have acknowledged possessing nuclear weapons. Israel is widely believed to have them but has never publicly confirmed it.

Exact stockpile numbers are closely guarded state secrets.

Iran long has insisted its nuclear program is for peaceful purposes only. But it has in recent years been enriching uranium to up to 60% purity — near weapons-grade levels of 90%.

UN nuclear watchdog said it wasunable to verifywhether Iran has suspended all uranium enrichment, in a report seen Friday by The Associated Press beforeU.S. and Israeli forces launched a major attack on Iran,

As Macron sets out his nuclear doctrine, a look at France's capability by the numbers

PARIS (AP) — French President Emmanuel Macron is delivering a keynote speech Monday onFrance's nuclear deterrence pol...
Photos show Israel after Iran retaliated with missiles

Iran and Iranian-backed militias firedmissiles at Israelwhile Israel and the United States pounded targets in Iran as the war expanded.

Associated Press Ultra-Orthodox Jewish men look on as Israeli security forces operate at the site where several people were killed in an Iranian missile strike in Beit Shemesh, Israel, Sunday, March 1, 2026. (AP Photo/Leo Correa) Israeli security forces inspect a damaged road after a missile launched from Iran struck Jerusalem, Sunday, March 1, 2026.(AP Photo/Mahmoud Illean) Trace of an air defense missile interception during an Iranian attack is seen over Jerusalem's Old City, Sunday, March 1, 2026. (AP Photo/Mahmoud Illean) Paramedics evacuate wounded people from the site of a deadly Iranian missile strike in Beit Shemesh, Israel Sunday, March 1, 2026. (AP Photo/Leo Correa) Ultra-Orthodox Jews gather at the site where several people were killed by an Iranian missile strike in Beit Shemesh, Israel Sunday, March 1, 2026. (AP Photo/Leo Correa) Rescue workers and military personnel survey the scene of a direct hit a day after an Iranian missile struck in Tel Aviv, Israel, Sunday, March 1, 2026. (AP Photo/Oded Balilty) Rescue workers and military personnel carry a body of a victim from the scene where several people were killed by an Iranian missile strike in Beit Shemesh, Israel Sunday, March 1, 2026. (AP Photo/Leo Correa) People take shelter in an underground parking garage as air raid sirens warn of incoming missiles launched by Iran toward Tel Aviv, Israel, Sunday, March 1, 2026. (AP Photo/Ohad Zwigenberg) An officer from Israel's Home Front Command searches through the rubble of a destroyed house after it was struck by an Iranian missile in Beit Shemesh, Israel, Sunday, March 1, 2026. (AP Photo/Leo Correa) A damaged apartment is seen a day after it was struck by an Iranian missile in Tel Aviv, Israel, Sunday, March 1, 2026. (AP Photo/Ohad Zwigenberg) Rescue workers and military personnel operate at the scene where several people were killed in an Iranian missile strike in Beit Shemesh, Israel Sunday, March 1, 2026. (AP Photo/Leo Correa) Leah Guttmann holds her son, Teddy, as other people take shelter in an underground parking garage while air-raid sirens warn of incoming missiles launched by Iran toward Tel Aviv, Israel, Sunday, March 1, 2026. (AP Photo/Ohad Zwigenberg)

APTOPIX Israel US Iran

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This is a photo gallery curated by AP photo editors.

Photos show Israel after Iran retaliated with missiles

Iran and Iranian-backed militias firedmissiles at Israelwhile Israel and the United States pounded targets in Iran as ...
Blow after blow to the power of Iran and its proxy militias set the stage for US-Israel attacks

As Israel unleashed a sweeping military response to the brutal Oct. 7, 2023, assault by Hamas, it aimedpunch after punch at the power of Iran, the militant group's longtime sponsor, and its other proxies and allies in the region.

Associated Press A Hezbollah supporter holds up a portrait of the late Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei during a gathering in the southern suburbs of Beirut, Lebanon, Sunday, March 1, 2026. The Arabic words on the portrait read: Hezbollah supporters gather to mourn the death of Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in the southern Suburb of Beirut, Lebanon, Sunday, March 1, 2026. (AP Photo/Hassan Ammar) Hezbollah supporters shout slogans as they gather to mourn the death of Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in the southern Suburb of Beirut, Lebanon, Sunday, March 1, 2026. (AP Photo/Hassan Ammar)

Lebanon Iran US Israel

The result has been a rapid and systematic degradation of Iran's clout across the Middle East over the past 2½ years, a seismic change that led directly tothis weekend's devastating attacks on Iranby the United States and Israel.

"Certainly the Oct. 7 events were a turning point in this long conflict between Iran and Israel," said Mehrzad Boroujerdi, an expert on Iranian politics at the Missouri University of Science and Technology. "I think it provided Israel with the argument or justification to deliver a strong blow."

The most devastating hit so far came this weekend when PresidentDonald Trumpand Israeli leaders launched a wave of attacks on Iran,killing Iran's supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khameneiand inflicting widespread destruction. But the war, while still in its early stages, is part of a much longer continuum of events that have severely weakened Iran, Hezbollah and other proxy militias, and upended political balance in the region.

"It's a very bloody, a very violent but transformative moment that the Middle East is going through," said Renad Mansour, a senior research fellow focused on the Middle East at Chatham House, a British think tank. "We don't know where this will end up."

The war in Gaza was the wellspring

The damage to Iran's power radiated fromthe war in Gaza, where Israeli forces followed Hamas after militants killed 1,200 people and took 251 hostages during the Oct. 7 attacks. Israel has since killed more than 72,000 Palestinians in Gaza, nearly half of them women and children, according to the Health Ministry, which is under Gaza's Hamas government and which does not distinguish between militants and civilians.

The conflict quickly expanded, though, to include other groups in the Iran-sponsored Axis of Resistance.

In Lebanon, the powerful militant group Hezbollah had long been considered Iran's first line of defense in case of a war with Israel. It was believed to have some 150,000 rockets and missiles, and the group's former leader,Hassan Nasrallahonce boasted of having100,000 fighters.

After Oct. 7, the group launched rockets across the border to Israel, seeking to aid its ally Hamas. That drew Israeli airstrikes and shelling and the exchanges escalated into full-scale war in the fall of 2024.

Israel inflicted heavy damage on Hezbollah, killing Nasrallah and other top leaders and destroying much of the militant group's arsenal, before a U.S.-negotiated ceasefire nominally halted that conflict last November. Israel continues to occupy parts of southern Lebanon and to carry outnear-daily airstrikes.

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Hezbollah was further weakened when rebels overthrew the regime of key ally Syrian PresidentBashar Assad, cutting off a major supply route for Iranian weapons.

Yemen'sHouthi rebels, also sponsored by Iran, joined the expanding conflict, firing rockets at vessels in the Red Sea and targeting Israel. U.S. warships and the Israeli military returned fire.

Israel left the status quo behind

As the conflict expanded, leaders of Iran and its proxies failed to recognize that Israel had abandoned the long-tense status quo and was trying to engineer a fundamental shift, Mansour said.

The toll on Iran escalated last June when Israel launched a surprise offensive aimed at decimating Tehran'srapidly advancing nuclear programwhile Iran and the U.S. were in negotiations for a nuclear deal. The 12-day war that followed saw bombing attacks of Iran's energy industry and Defense Ministry headquarters.

Iran's weakened proxy groups largely stayed on the sidelines as their sponsor came under direct attack last year. So far in the new war, they've done much the same.

"It's very much about survival" for Hezbollah and the other Iran-backed groups, Mansour said. He noted that over time the Axis had become less driven by top-down orders from Iran, and the groups have become more autonomous. "And survival to them is based on calculations that aren't necessarily about Iran's survival."

Since Israel and the U.S. launched a barrage of strikes on Iran Saturday, Tehran's allies and proxies in the region have had a minimal role in the response.

Hezbollah appeared to change that early Monday, even though the group has been under great pressure by Lebanese officials not to enter the fray in defense of Iran out of fear of another damaging war in Lebanon.

Hezbollah issued statements condemning the U.S.-Israeli attacks on Iran and mourning the death of Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Then it hinted it might get involved. Early Monday, it did, firing missiles across the border. Israel promptly retaliated with strikes on the southern suburbs of Beirut. It was the first time in more than a year that Hezbollah has claimed a strike against Israel.

Hezbollah said in a statement that the strikes were carried out in retaliation for the killing of Khamenei and for "repeated Israeli aggressions."

How might other proxy groups react?

How other proxy groups could react to Khamenei's death remains to be seen. Charles Lister, a senior fellow at the Middle East Institute, said Israel's actions since 2023 may give such groups pause."Previous bouts of conflict since Oct. 7 appear to have underlined the existential risk associated with making yourself a target," Lister said in an email responding to questions from The Associated Press.In Iraq, a coalition of Iran-backed militias calling itself the Islamic Resistance in Iraq has claimed several drone strikes targeting U.S. bases in Irbil, the capital of the semiautonomous Kurdish region in the country's north. The extent of damage caused by the attacks is not clear. But the Kurdish region has seen widespread power outages after a key gas field that supplies much of the region's electricity stopped operations, citing security concerns.Two officials with different Iran-backed militias in Iraq told the AP that a meeting took place two months ago between Iranian officials and allied Iraqi militias to make plans for a response in case Iran was attacked, including distributing tasks among the Iraqi armed groups.The officials spoke on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to comment publicly. One of the officials said it was decided that the response would target U.S. forces and interests in Iraq's semiautonomous northern Kurdish region and in neighboring Jordan.There's often a misconception that Iran issues orders to its proxy militant groups and they all fall in line, Boroujerdi said. But independent decisions the groups have made so far to stay clear of the conflict are a sign of the overall weakening of Iran's network."The dominoes started to fall with the October 7 events," Boroujerdi said. "Just take note of everything that has changed since then in terms of the balance of power."___Associated Press writer Qassim Abdul-Zahra in Baghdad contributed to this report.

How other proxy groups could react to Khamenei's death remains to be seen. Charles Lister, a senior fellow at the Middle East Institute, said Israel's actions since 2023 may give such groups pause.

"Previous bouts of conflict since Oct. 7 appear to have underlined the existential risk associated with making yourself a target," Lister said in an email responding to questions from The Associated Press.

In Iraq, a coalition of Iran-backed militias calling itself the Islamic Resistance in Iraq has claimed several drone strikes targeting U.S. bases in Irbil, the capital of the semiautonomous Kurdish region in the country's north. The extent of damage caused by the attacks is not clear. But the Kurdish region has seen widespread power outages after a key gas field that supplies much of the region's electricity stopped operations, citing security concerns.

Two officials with different Iran-backed militias in Iraq told the AP that a meeting took place two months ago between Iranian officials and allied Iraqi militias to make plans for a response in case Iran was attacked, including distributing tasks among the Iraqi armed groups.

The officials spoke on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to comment publicly. One of the officials said it was decided that the response would target U.S. forces and interests in Iraq's semiautonomous northern Kurdish region and in neighboring Jordan.

There's often a misconception that Iran issues orders to its proxy militant groups and they all fall in line, Boroujerdi said. But independent decisions the groups have made so far to stay clear of the conflict are a sign of the overall weakening of Iran's network.

"The dominoes started to fall with the October 7 events," Boroujerdi said. "Just take note of everything that has changed since then in terms of the balance of power."

Associated Press writer Qassim Abdul-Zahra in Baghdad contributed to this report.

Blow after blow to the power of Iran and its proxy militias set the stage for US-Israel attacks

As Israel unleashed a sweeping military response to the brutal Oct. 7, 2023, assault by Hamas, it aimedpunch after punch ...
Myanmar's military government pardons 10,000 prisoners before parliament opens

BANGKOK (AP) — The head of Myanmar's military government granted amnesty to more than 10,000 prisoners and reduced the sentences of others to mark a holiday, state-run media reported Monday.

Associated Press

There was no sign former leaderAung San Suu Kyi, who was ousted in the military takeover in 2021 and has been held virtually incommunicado since then, would be freed.

The amnesty comes two weeks before parliament isset to convenefor its first session in more than five years following the recent election that critics said was neither free nor fair.

State-run MRTV television reported that Senior Gen. Min Aung Hlaing, the head of the military government, pardoned 10,162 prisoners, including 7,337 convicted under a counterterrorism law, on Peasants' Day, a national holiday honoring farmers.

A separate statement said 12,487 people who were either being prosecuted under that law or were in hiding, will receive amnesty and have their incitement cases closed.

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The law carries a potential death penalty and was widely used to arrest and imprison political opponents, journalists, and others involved in dissent since the 2021 army takeover.

Ten foreigners will also be released and deported from Myanmar, it said in a separate statement.

Mass amnesties to mark holidays are not unusual in Myanmar. The prisoner releases began Monday but may take a few days. The identities of those released were not immediately available.

According to the Assistance Association for Political Prisoners, an independent organization that keeps detailed tallies of arrests and casualties linked to the nation's political conflicts, more than 22,800 political detainees were in detention as of last Friday.

They include the 80-year-old Suu Kyi, who is serving a 27-year sentence after being convicted in what supporters have called politically tinged prosecutions.

Myanmar's military government pardons 10,000 prisoners before parliament opens

BANGKOK (AP) — The head of Myanmar's military government granted amnesty to more than 10,000 prisoners and reduced th...

 

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